Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Bedard 40.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 64.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 78.7%
Neutral zone
Bedard 68.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Fantilli
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Fantilli
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Fantilli
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Fantilli
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
38.9% (512)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
43.8% (16)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Bedard
Home
46.8% (218)
40.2% (246)
Away
39.7% (174)
37.8% (286)
By Period
Fantilli
Bedard
P1
40.3%
39.9%
P2
38.1%
38.5%
P3
54.1%
39.0%
OT
30.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |