Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Bedard 39.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 82.3%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 51.8%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 66.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Fantilli
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Fantilli
Bedard
Last 7: Fantilli 5-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Fantilli
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Bedard
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
38.0% (618)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
38.7% (31)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
57.1% (7)
-40.4%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Bedard
Home
44.1% (488)
40.5% (316)
Away
38.6% (531)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Fantilli
Bedard
P1
42.0%
37.2%
P2
43.0%
36.9%
P3
39.3%
40.7%
OT
11.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |