Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Ryan 54.6% (-12.1%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 83.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 85.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Fantilli
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
60.8% (263)
-17.5%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.2% (145)
-46.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Ryan
Home
46.8% (218)
56.7% (201)
Away
39.7% (174)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Fantilli
Ryan
P1
40.3%
56.7%
P2
38.1%
56.8%
P3
54.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
38.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%