Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Strome 58.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 56.9%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 53.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 56.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Fantilli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fantilli
Strome
Last 5: Fantilli 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Fantilli
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
56.2% (856)
-6.6%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
66.4% (298)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
41.7% (12)
+12.8%
On power play, Strome has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Strome
Home
50.8% (472)
55.7% (627)
Away
49.2% (480)
62.2% (539)
By Period
Fantilli
Strome
P1
47.8%
61.6%
P2
52.7%
54.5%
P3
50.0%
60.4%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |