Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Strome 53.4% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 62.1%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 78.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 55.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Fantilli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Fantilli
Strome
Last 7: Fantilli 4-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Fantilli
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Fantilli
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
52.6% (968)
-11.9%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
56.9% (311)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
62.5% (8)
-45.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Strome
Home
44.1% (488)
53.4% (653)
Away
38.6% (531)
53.9% (634)
By Period
Fantilli
Strome
P1
42.0%
49.3%
P2
43.0%
54.6%
P3
39.3%
56.7%
OT
11.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |