Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Strome 51.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 64.0%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 61.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 60.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Fantilli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Fantilli
Strome
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
4
Fantilli
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
5
Fantilli
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
50.1% (6,337)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
58.4% (1,519)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
45.6% (68)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Strome
Home
47.3% (1,178)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Fantilli
Strome
P1
44.0%
50.4%
P2
46.2%
52.1%
P3
45.9%
52.3%
OT
24.1%
52.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |