Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Rodrigues 46.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 66.1%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 51.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Fantilli
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
45.6% (250)
-4.9%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
40.0% (30)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
50.0% (2)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Home
44.1% (488)
46.5% (142)
Away
38.6% (531)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Fantilli
Rodrigues
P1
42.0%
42.9%
P2
43.0%
50.0%
P3
39.3%
42.4%
OT
11.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |