Adam Fantilli vs Evan Rodrigues
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.9%). Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 64.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 67.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Last 9: Fantilli 6-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
3
Fantilli
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
46.2% (2,883)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
45.0% (298)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
42.9% (219)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Rodrigues
Home
47.3% (1,178)
47.1% (1,820)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Fantilli
Rodrigues
P1
44.0%
46.9%
P2
46.2%
46.1%
P3
45.9%
44.6%
OT
24.1%
48.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |