Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Compher 45.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 73.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 58.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Fantilli
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fantilli
Compher
Last 5: Fantilli 1-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Fantilli
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
45.5% (782)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
44.2% (77)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.7% (180)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Compher
Home
46.8% (218)
44.0% (484)
Away
39.7% (174)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Fantilli
Compher
P1
40.3%
46.2%
P2
38.1%
44.8%
P3
54.1%
44.2%
OT
30.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |