Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Compher 45.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 57.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 60.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Fantilli
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Fantilli
Compher
Last 10: Fantilli 7-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
2
Fantilli
Compher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Compher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Fantilli
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
45.8% (847)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
40.8% (49)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
41.9% (117)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Compher
Home
44.1% (488)
45.1% (519)
Away
38.6% (531)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Fantilli
Compher
P1
42.0%
45.8%
P2
43.0%
46.2%
P3
39.3%
43.2%
OT
11.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |