Adam Fantilli vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Pageau 55.0% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 91.4%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 55.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 78.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Fantilli
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Fantilli
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Fantilli
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
57.1% (905)
-13.8%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
55.2% (116)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
48.0% (204)
-48.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pageau
Home
46.8% (218)
57.0% (618)
Away
39.7% (174)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Fantilli
Pageau
P1
40.3%
54.4%
P2
38.1%
61.0%
P3
54.1%
51.0%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |