Adam Fantilli vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Pageau 58.7% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 68.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 59.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 62.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Fantilli
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Fantilli
Pageau
Last 8: Fantilli 3-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Fantilli
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Fantilli
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
59.6% (711)
-18.9%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
64.0% (114)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
56.4% (163)
-39.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pageau
Home
44.1% (488)
59.3% (506)
Away
38.6% (531)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Fantilli
Pageau
P1
42.0%
56.8%
P2
43.0%
64.4%
P3
39.3%
56.9%
OT
11.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |