Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Eller 56.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 68.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Fantilli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
57.2% (306)
-7.2%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
77.8% (9)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
60.0% (35)
+0.0%
On power play, Eller has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Fantilli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (465).
Fantilli shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eller
Home
53.0% (334)
52.7% (150)
Away
48.7% (372)
62.0% (200)
By Period
Fantilli
Eller
P1
48.7%
54.1%
P2
53.9%
59.6%
P3
49.8%
59.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |