Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Eller 55.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 71.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Fantilli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Fantilli
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
56.5% (434)
-6.9%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
77.8% (9)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
56.5% (46)
-2.0%
On power play, Eller has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eller
Home
50.8% (472)
53.1% (211)
Away
49.2% (480)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Fantilli
Eller
P1
47.8%
55.4%
P2
52.7%
58.1%
P3
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |