Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Eller 52.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 87.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 64.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Fantilli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Fantilli
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Fantilli
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Fantilli
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
52.8% (742)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
67.6% (34)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.2% (156)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eller
Home
46.8% (218)
54.5% (448)
Away
39.7% (174)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Fantilli
Eller
P1
40.3%
52.8%
P2
38.1%
50.9%
P3
54.1%
53.4%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |