Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.2% vs 41.4%). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Carlsson 42.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 55.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Fantilli
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fantilli
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Fantilli
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
41.8% (648)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
37.3% (51)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
38.7% (31)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Carlsson
Home
44.1% (488)
44.5% (362)
Away
38.6% (531)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Fantilli
Carlsson
P1
42.0%
46.3%
P2
43.0%
35.1%
P3
39.3%
43.9%
OT
11.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |