Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Domi 50.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 76.9%
Defensive zone
Domi 57.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 57.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Fantilli
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fantilli
Domi
Last 6: Fantilli 2-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Fantilli
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Fantilli
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
50.4% (254)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
59.3% (27)
-6.8%
On power play, Domi has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Domi
Home
50.8% (472)
50.0% (174)
Away
49.2% (480)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Fantilli
Domi
P1
47.8%
45.7%
P2
52.7%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
57.3%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |