Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Domi 48.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 68.9%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 62.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 68.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Fantilli
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Fantilli
Domi
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Fantilli
Domi
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
6
Fantilli
Domi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
48.1% (4,296)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
53.4% (633)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
48.8% (41)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Domi
Home
47.3% (1,178)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Fantilli
Domi
P1
44.0%
48.7%
P2
46.2%
48.3%
P3
45.9%
49.8%
OT
24.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Max Domi |