Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Acciari 53.9% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 88.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 92.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 54.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Fantilli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Fantilli
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Fantilli
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
55.6% (426)
-12.3%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.1% (146)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Acciari
Home
46.8% (218)
55.2% (306)
Away
39.7% (174)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Fantilli
Acciari
P1
40.3%
55.5%
P2
38.1%
54.3%
P3
54.1%
54.1%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |