Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Acciari 53.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 91.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 55.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Fantilli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Fantilli
Acciari
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
6
Fantilli
Acciari
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
56.7% (393)
-16.0%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
33.3% (3)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
48.0% (202)
-31.3%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Acciari
Home
44.1% (488)
54.5% (279)
Away
38.6% (531)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Fantilli
Acciari
P1
42.0%
56.9%
P2
43.0%
51.4%
P3
39.3%
53.2%
OT
11.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 00:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |