Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 86.5%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 65.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 64.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Last 6: Fantilli 5-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
41.3% (492)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
56.3% (16)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.2% (81)
-43.2%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Home
46.8% (218)
43.3% (275)
Away
39.7% (174)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Fantilli
Sundqvist
P1
40.3%
43.3%
P2
38.1%
41.8%
P3
54.1%
40.1%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |