Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 80.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 82.4%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 53.0%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Last 7: Fantilli 3-4 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
4
Fantilli
Sundqvist
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
46.8% (301)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
80.0% (10)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
43.5% (85)
+11.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Sundqvist
Home
50.8% (472)
46.0% (189)
Away
49.2% (480)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Fantilli
Sundqvist
P1
47.8%
44.7%
P2
52.7%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |