Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.8%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Greig 50.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 86.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 63.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Fantilli
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Fantilli
Greig
Last 7: Fantilli 2-5 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
3
Fantilli
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
51.5% (336)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
66.7% (24)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
43.2% (81)
+11.3%
On power play, Greig has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Greig
Home
50.8% (472)
50.2% (247)
Away
49.2% (480)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Fantilli
Greig
P1
47.8%
46.9%
P2
52.7%
58.8%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |