Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Greig 53.8% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 50.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 92.3%
Neutral zone
Greig 85.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 92.3%
7.7%
92.3%
Fantilli
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Fantilli
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
53.6% (280)
-12.9%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
61.3% (31)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
56.5% (69)
-39.8%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Greig
Home
44.1% (488)
56.2% (185)
Away
38.6% (531)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Fantilli
Greig
P1
42.0%
52.8%
P2
43.0%
51.6%
P3
39.3%
59.5%
Final 5 min
38.3%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |