Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Hintz 58.0% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 81.3%
Defensive zone
Hintz 94.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 84.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 90.3%
9.7%
90.3%
Fantilli
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Fantilli
Hintz
Last 7: Fantilli 6-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
0
Fantilli
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (826)
58.7% (530)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.0% (98)
59.4% (170)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
66.7% (27)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Fantilli is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Fantilli shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hintz
Home
50.8% (472)
60.2% (354)
Away
49.0% (463)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Fantilli
Hintz
P1
47.7%
58.4%
P2
52.7%
59.8%
P3
49.8%
58.2%
OT
30.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |