Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Hintz 53.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 51.0%
Defensive zone
Hintz 57.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Fantilli
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Fantilli
Hintz
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
5
Fantilli
Hintz
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
2
Fantilli
Hintz
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Fantilli
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
53.8% (3,722)
-9.1%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
55.4% (567)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
52.9% (221)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hintz
Home
47.3% (1,178)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Fantilli
Hintz
P1
44.0%
55.5%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
45.9%
52.7%
OT
24.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |