Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Hintz 55.3% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 61.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 54.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 59.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Fantilli
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fantilli
Hintz
Last 5: Fantilli 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Fantilli
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Fantilli
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
56.3% (512)
-13.0%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
63.3% (30)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.8% (24)
-45.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hintz
Home
46.8% (218)
57.3% (262)
Away
39.7% (174)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Fantilli
Hintz
P1
40.3%
54.8%
P2
38.1%
56.0%
P3
54.1%
57.5%
OT
30.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |