Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Hartman 45.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 67.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Fantilli
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Fantilli
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Fantilli
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
44.8% (830)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
47.8% (92)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.5% (16)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hartman
Home
50.8% (472)
45.0% (515)
Away
49.2% (480)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Fantilli
Hartman
P1
47.8%
46.5%
P2
52.7%
39.9%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |