Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Hartman 48.1% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 58.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 83.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 76.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Fantilli
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Fantilli
Hartman
Last 6: Fantilli 4-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
48.1% (520)
-7.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
44.7% (47)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
47.8% (23)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hartman
Home
44.1% (488)
48.3% (360)
Away
38.6% (531)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Fantilli
Hartman
P1
42.0%
48.5%
P2
43.0%
45.2%
P3
39.3%
49.6%
OT
11.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |