Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Hartman 47.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 53.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 80.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Fantilli
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Fantilli
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
47.1% (649)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
47.1% (68)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.2% (73)
-45.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hartman
Home
46.8% (218)
46.5% (361)
Away
39.7% (174)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Fantilli
Hartman
P1
40.3%
45.1%
P2
38.1%
44.4%
P3
54.1%
50.9%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |