Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 53.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 53.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Fantilli
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Fantilli
Couturier
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Fantilli
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Fantilli
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
53.8% (1,003)
-10.5%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
56.4% (202)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
42.7% (89)
-42.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Couturier
Home
46.8% (218)
54.4% (680)
Away
39.7% (174)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Fantilli
Couturier
P1
40.3%
56.3%
P2
38.1%
51.8%
P3
54.1%
52.2%
OT
30.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
38.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |