Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 62.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 90.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 61.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Fantilli
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Fantilli
Couturier
Last 10: Fantilli 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Fantilli
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
53.4% (758)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
62.9% (70)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.7% (227)
+3.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Couturier
Home
50.8% (472)
50.7% (517)
Away
49.2% (480)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Fantilli
Couturier
P1
47.8%
55.2%
P2
52.7%
53.0%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
OT
30.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |