Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Wright 45.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 61.1%
Defensive zone
Wright 60.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 52.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Fantilli
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fantilli
Wright
Last 5: Fantilli 2-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Fantilli
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Fantilli
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
43.9% (758)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
50.7% (67)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
40.0% (5)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Wright
Home
44.1% (488)
46.3% (406)
Away
38.6% (531)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Fantilli
Wright
P1
42.0%
46.8%
P2
43.0%
42.6%
P3
39.3%
44.4%
OT
11.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Shane Wright |