Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Wright 43.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 52.2%
Defensive zone
Wright 65.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 54.1%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Fantilli
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fantilli
Wright
Last 7: Fantilli 3-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Fantilli
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
42.6% (1,318)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
45.8% (131)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
33.3% (6)
-1.3%
On power play, Fantilli has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Wright
Home
47.3% (1,178)
44.2% (746)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Fantilli
Wright
P1
44.0%
44.4%
P2
46.2%
40.7%
P3
45.9%
44.0%
OT
24.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Shane Wright |