Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Crosby 56.6% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 79.9%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 77.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 82.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Fantilli
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Fantilli
Crosby
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Fantilli
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Fantilli
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
56.2% (1,451)
-15.5%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
61.4% (293)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
55.3% (38)
-38.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Crosby
Home
44.1% (488)
59.1% (939)
Away
38.6% (531)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Fantilli
Crosby
P1
42.0%
54.9%
P2
43.0%
60.8%
P3
39.3%
55.4%
OT
11.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
38.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |