Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Crosby 55.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 53.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 51.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 52.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Fantilli
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Fantilli
Crosby
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Fantilli
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Fantilli
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
53.7% (984)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
64.7% (241)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
64.3% (14)
-9.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Crosby
Home
50.8% (472)
56.9% (649)
Away
49.2% (480)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Fantilli
Crosby
P1
47.8%
55.8%
P2
52.7%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
58.7%
OT
30.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |