Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Fantilli
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
40.7% (460)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
61.5% (39)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Novak has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Novak
Home
46.8% (218)
47.0% (236)
Away
39.7% (174)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Fantilli
Novak
P1
40.3%
43.1%
P2
38.1%
43.1%
P3
54.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
38.9%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%