Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Frederic 46.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 70.1%
Defensive zone
Frederic 70.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Fantilli
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fantilli
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Fantilli
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
45.8% (262)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
36.4% (22)
-36.4%
On penalty kill, Frederic has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Frederic
Home
46.8% (218)
44.1% (152)
Away
39.7% (174)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Fantilli
Frederic
P1
40.3%
41.7%
P2
38.1%
48.9%
P3
54.1%
45.6%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Frederic
62.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |