Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Frederic 45.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 55.6%
Defensive zone
Frederic 61.7%
Neutral zone
Frederic 61.3%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Fantilli
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Fantilli
Frederic
Last 9: Fantilli 5-4 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Frederic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
2
3
Fantilli
Frederic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
42.6% (195)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
64.3% (14)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
25.0% (4)
-8.3%
On power play, Frederic has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Frederic is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Frederic
Home
44.1% (488)
48.6% (107)
Away
38.6% (531)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Fantilli
Frederic
P1
42.0%
37.5%
P2
43.0%
44.8%
P3
39.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
Frederic
62.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |