Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Zegras 41.3% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 54.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Fantilli
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
36.5% (156)
+4.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
40.7% (27)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
0.0% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zegras
Home
44.1% (488)
38.9% (113)
Away
38.6% (531)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Fantilli
Zegras
P1
42.0%
40.0%
P2
43.0%
38.1%
P3
39.3%
31.6%
OT
11.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
41.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%