Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 64.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 80.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Fantilli
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Fantilli
Gourde
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
8
Fantilli
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
47.2% (654)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
45.0% (20)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
32.2% (87)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gourde
Home
50.8% (472)
44.1% (322)
Away
49.2% (480)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Fantilli
Gourde
P1
47.8%
42.4%
P2
52.7%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
44.3%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |