Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Gourde 45.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 87.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 69.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Fantilli
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Fantilli
Gourde
Last 10: Fantilli 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
8
Fantilli
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
47.1% (463)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
36.4% (11)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
29.9% (67)
+30.1%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fantilli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (465).
Fantilli shoots left. Gourde is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gourde
Home
53.0% (334)
42.3% (215)
Away
48.7% (372)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Fantilli
Gourde
P1
48.7%
44.8%
P2
53.9%
49.1%
P3
49.8%
40.1%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |