Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 80.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 66.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Fantilli
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fantilli
Gourde
Last 5: Fantilli 1-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Fantilli
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Fantilli
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
48.0% (914)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
54.2% (48)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.9% (123)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gourde
Home
46.8% (218)
50.2% (512)
Away
39.7% (174)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Fantilli
Gourde
P1
40.3%
50.0%
P2
38.1%
45.3%
P3
54.1%
48.6%
OT
30.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |