Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Kempe 43.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 59.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Gaudette
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudette
Kempe
Last 5: Gaudette 2-3 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kempe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
2
Gaudette
Kempe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Kempe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
42.6% (671)
-2.7%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
42.0% (50)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Kempe is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kempe
Home
39.1% (225)
43.6% (369)
Away
42.5% (146)
41.6% (370)
By Period
Gaudette
Kempe
P1
45.0%
40.0%
P2
42.6%
44.3%
P3
34.6%
43.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |