Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Kempe 41.0% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 52.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 59.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 61.7%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Gaudette
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudette
Kempe
Last 7: Gaudette 4-3 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
2
Gaudette
Kempe
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Kempe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
40.2% (1,881)
+3.5%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
43.1% (211)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
42.6% (54)
+4.1%
On power play, Gaudette has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kempe
Home
45.9% (912)
42.4% (1,045)
Away
41.9% (754)
38.8% (1,101)
By Period
Gaudette
Kempe
P1
44.4%
39.5%
P2
46.5%
40.1%
P3
41.1%
42.2%
OT
100.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |