Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Kempe 41.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 55.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 81.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 72.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Gaudette
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudette
Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Kempe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
38.2% (102)
+7.5%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
30.6% (36)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On power play, Gaudette has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Gaudette is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Gaudette shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kempe
Home
48.4% (91)
36.4% (66)
Away
47.4% (133)
35.5% (76)
By Period
Gaudette
Kempe
P1
45.2%
37.3%
P2
51.9%
36.7%
P3
45.9%
31.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |