Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.7% vs Ryan 54.9% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 73.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.6%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Gaudette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudette
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Gaudette
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (119)
60.2% (387)
-15.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
28.6% (7)
+8.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Gaudette is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Gaudette shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Ryan
Home
44.6% (65)
56.7% (254)
Away
43.5% (62)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Gaudette
Ryan
P1
41.9%
56.9%
P2
49.2%
51.7%
P3
36.1%
59.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |