Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Ryan 57.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 58.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 88.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 74.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Gaudette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudette
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Gaudette
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
61.4% (220)
-11.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
100.0% (1)
-41.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Gaudette is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Gaudette shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Ryan
Home
54.4% (206)
64.2% (137)
Away
44.4% (144)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Gaudette
Ryan
P1
49.2%
58.9%
P2
50.4%
62.8%
P3
51.6%
59.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |