Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.7% vs Stepan 54.8% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 65.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Gaudette
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (119)
54.5% (374)
-10.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
0.0% (2)
+37.5%
On power play, Gaudette has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Gaudette is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Gaudette shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Stepan
Home
44.6% (65)
54.5% (222)
Away
43.5% (62)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Gaudette
Stepan
P1
41.9%
57.5%
P2
49.2%
54.7%
P3
36.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%