Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Evans 55.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 54.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 65.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 88.1%
11.9%
88.1%
Gaudette
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudette
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
56.2% (477)
-10.5%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
70.0% (10)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
55.4% (204)
-5.4%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Evans
Home
48.4% (91)
55.3% (374)
Away
47.4% (133)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Gaudette
Evans
P1
45.2%
58.5%
P2
51.9%
55.7%
P3
45.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |