Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Evans 52.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 81.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Gaudette
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Gaudette
Evans
Last 6: Gaudette 3-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Gaudette
Evans
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
54.4% (824)
-4.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (9)
-8.4%
On power play, Evans has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Gaudette is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Gaudette shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Evans
Home
54.4% (206)
55.1% (541)
Away
44.4% (144)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Gaudette
Evans
P1
49.2%
51.8%
P2
50.4%
53.3%
P3
51.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |